Villarreal vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.7%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
VIL
2 - 3
OLI
44%
28%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ONT
2 - 0
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VIL
4 - 0
RAY
82%
14%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
29%
42%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
VIL
2 - 0
NUL
61%
24%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CDO
2 - 1
AGD
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALB
52%
26%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
GRA
0 - 0
AGD
63%
24%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
AGD
1 - 1
CCF
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
SLA
1 - 1
AGD
65%
23%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |