Segunda B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Villarreal B vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UES
3 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PXD
0 - 3
VIL
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 3
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |