Villarreal C vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
SEG
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 3
VIL
12%
20%
69%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
5 - 2
BOR
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALM
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 0
PAT
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 0
RAY
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
REC
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |