Villarreal C vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORI
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
NOV
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIL
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALZ
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
CAS
48%
28%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ONT
2 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ACE
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |