Villarreal C vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
REQ
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEV
3 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
TOR
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRE
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAS
17%
26%
58%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 2
MUR
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JOV
0 - 0
CAS
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
NOV
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |