Villarcayo Nela vs UP Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
CEB
55%
24%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
CFB
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UPP
0 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
UPP
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UPP
0 - 2
UXA
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NUM
2 - 1
UPP
62%
19%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 0
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |