Villarcayo Nela vs Racing Lermeño CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UXA
1 - 2
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
NUM
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Lermeño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LER
1 - 0
INT
30%
23%
46%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LER
1 - 0
BEL
32%
24%
45%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CFB
2 - 1
LER
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
TUR
21%
21%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
LER
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |