Villarcayo Nela vs Las Navas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+190%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UPP
1 - 0
VIL
47%
24%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
25%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UXA
2 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
CFB
20%
23%
58%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 6
SJO
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
LAS
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LAS
4 - 2
GRA
28%
21%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CUE
4 - 2
LAS
69%
15%
16%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COL
8 - 0
LAS
91%
6%
2%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |