Villarcayo Nela vs Cebrereña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
CFB
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAL
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SJO
1 - 0
VIL
46%
25%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cebrereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEB
0 - 2
BEL
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CEB
1 - 0
UXA
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NUM
1 - 0
CEB
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEB
3 - 2
UPP
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEB
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |