Villarcayo Nela vs Vista Alegre CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
LER
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vista Alegre CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
INT
1 - 1
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
INT
63%
20%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
INT
0 - 4
CDC
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
INT
0 - 6
PAL
18%
22%
59%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CFB
3 - 0
INT
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |