Villarcayo Nela vs Carejas Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
LER
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UXA
1 - 2
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 6
TUR
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UXA
3 - 1
CAR
52%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 4
NUM
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UPP
0 - 2
CAR
58%
20%
21%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |