Villarcayo Nela vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 1
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 2
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOS
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 3
COL
17%
20%
62%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 3
CDC
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ATL
4 - 4
FCN
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 0
TIE
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |