CD Villaralbo vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villaralbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LVC
2 - 0
VIL
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAB
17%
24%
59%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SDA
1 - 1
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
SAL
49%
25%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
ACF
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CUL
6 - 0
STM
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
AST
22%
24%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
STM
0 - 1
CFP
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
STM
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |