Villanueva CF vs UD Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SDB
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
TAR
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BIN
1 - 3
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATL
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
TAR
21%
24%
56%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
FRA
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 3
BEL
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CFA
3 - 0
FRA
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
TER
17%
24%
60%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |