Villalonga FC vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalonga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOR
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PON
3 - 3
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 4
BAR
25%
24%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CDV
27%
23%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
3 - 0
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
BEL
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
ANT
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |