Villagarcia vs Catoira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
36.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villagarcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
NOA
5 - 0
VIL
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
3 - 2
VIL
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
CHI
32%
20%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
XIL
63%
17%
19%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
USD
1 - 1
VIL
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catoira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 1
LIB
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAT
81%
12%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 1
CAT
44%
20%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 6
NOA
28%
22%
51%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 4
USD
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |