Villafranco vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDP
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDR
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAC
2 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LEB
45%
26%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
ALM
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 3
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |