Villafranco vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
OSU
2 - 4
VIL
37%
24%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 1
CDP
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 0
VIL
43%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 3
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 3
CAC
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
UDB
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 2
MAI
61%
21%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAI
47%
24%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 3
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |