Villafranco vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 3
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
OSU
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDP
3 - 2
VIL
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
VEN
38%
24%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
CAC
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 0
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
UDB
60%
22%
19%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 3
EST
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |