Villafranco vs A. Cerro Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UDB
0 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
4 - 2
CDD
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 2
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
UDB
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
EST
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SOL
1 - 1
CAC
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
UDR
0 - 1
SOL
64%
19%
17%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SOL
1 - 2
PIL
52%
23%
25%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ROC
5 - 0
SOL
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOL
1 - 1
PAR
34%
23%
44%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |