Villafranco vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIL
43%
27%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
EGA
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
CCF
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |