Villafranca vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EXT
2 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
DBN
18%
24%
58%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
JER
2 - 2
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
MIA
26%
26%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 2
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 0
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAM
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SNV
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
ASJ
6 - 1
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |