Villafranca vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
CAL
0 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
VIL
2 - 0
DBN
30%
27%
44%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
MON
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
VIL
1 - 3
CPC
24%
29%
47%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SNV
0 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDZ
34%
28%
38%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
OLI
0 - 2
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
AZU
1 - 1
MOR
35%
30%
35%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAL
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
DBN
2 - 1
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |