Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-3
Villafranca vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CPA
4 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
EXT
1 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 3
BUR
55%
25%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 2
VIL
17%
25%
59%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 2
MME
53%
22%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
YEC
0 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
LUM
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
CAL
1 - 2
LOR
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
5 - 1
OLI
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | +1 |