Villafranca vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
CPG
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
USA
0 - 2
VIL
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 0
CDN
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SPR
2 - 2
VIL
11%
18%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
UDF
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UCL
2 - 1
HER
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
GIM
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAL
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 0
HER
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |