Villafranca vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DPC
2 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
COR
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CPL
2 - 3
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PUE
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 1
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 4
ASJ
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |