Villafranca vs Chinato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
SNV
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASJ
2 - 1
VIL
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
COR
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 2
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
CPL
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
PUE
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |