Villafranca vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
PLA
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 2
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
JER
32%
26%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
3 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
AZU
55%
24%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
PLA
39%
26%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 0
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |