Villafranca vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
15º
8º
46
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TRU
2 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDD
50%
24%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADL
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UCL
0 - 2
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
JER
1 - 2
ARR
58%
24%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
UDF
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 1
ARR
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 4
MOR
25%
26%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |