Villafranca vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
LEN
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 2
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAR
6%
16%
79%
|
29 | 78 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
DEL
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 2
VIR
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
RAV
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 2
VIR
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |