Villafranca vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
REZ
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
AVI
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CLO
0 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
SER
45%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
2 - 3
VIL
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 2
SER
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |