Villafranca vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
LEN
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 2
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAR
6%
16%
79%
|
28 | 77 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
DEL
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 2
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |