Villafranca vs San Luigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ACE
3 - 3
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEL
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 1
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
San Luigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LUI
1 - 2
LEG
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
LUI
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LUI
1 - 6
SDA
8%
15%
78%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUI
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LUI
1 - 3
BEL
17%
21%
63%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |