Villafranca vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VBE
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 4
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
SON
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GSD
0 - 1
SER
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
GSD
62%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GSD
1 - 2
PRO
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REZ
2 - 1
GSD
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GSD
1 - 2
MAN
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |