Villafranca vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VBE
1 - 1
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIS
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SON
2 - 2
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
DAR
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
SON
77%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
20%
23%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
DAR
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
REZ
2 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
SER
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |