Villafranca vs Sona Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
UAR
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MES
3 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sona Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
SON
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SON
2 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OLG
1 - 2
SON
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SON
0 - 3
USB
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USP
1 - 2
SON
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |