Villabiagio vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
COR
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
FIO
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
TUT
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 0
FIO
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
FIO
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |