Villabiagio vs Castelvetro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RIM
2 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
COR
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
TUT
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 3
PIA
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |