Villa Teresa vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
JUN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
UMO
2 - 3
VIL
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
JUV
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
SUD
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 3
RAC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ATE
0 - 0
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 2
CEN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 0
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |