Villa Teresa vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 1
VIL
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
CSC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HFC
2 - 2
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATE
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 2
CSM
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TOR
6 - 3
ROC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 3
HFC
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 0
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |