Villa Teresa vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 2
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 2
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
ATE
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
ROC
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 0
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |