Villa Teresa vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
REN
36%
27%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
PEÑ
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 3
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
ETS
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
CER
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |