Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 3-4
Villa Teresa vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CSC
0 - 2
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
CSC
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 2
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CSY
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CEN
49%
23%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 2
CSY
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
CSY
0 - 2
PRO
49%
24%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TAC
3 - 0
PRO
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |