Villa Teresa vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEN
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
BOS
3 - 0
VIL
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 7
ATE
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TAC
2 - 0
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |