Villa Teresa vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 3
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ETS
0 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LFC
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 3
PEÑ
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
PEÑ
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DAN
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |