Villa Teresa vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOS
2 - 1
VIL
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 2
VIL
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
DEP
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 5
VIL
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 0
CSM
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOS
0 - 0
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEL
4 - 0
ROC
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |