Villa Santa Brígida vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
9º
9º
33
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 0
VSB
79%
14%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
VSB
0 - 2
UDS
16%
24%
60%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HBN
3 - 1
VSB
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
VSB
3 - 1
UNV
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SBA
2 - 0
VSB
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDS
4 - 1
ARU
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ARU
2 - 1
UNV
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
ARU
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ARU
2 - 2
CSM
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
ARU
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |