Villa Santa Brígida vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
5º
36
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LPA
1 - 1
VSB
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
UPR
2 - 0
VSB
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VSB
1 - 1
LAN
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
VSB
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VSB
2 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 4
LAN
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARU
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARU
2 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 2
ARU
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 0
UDS
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |