Villa San Carlos vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
47%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
VSC
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 1
SMA
23%
28%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
VSC
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 2
SPB
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 1
VSC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
BAN
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
HUR
0 - 1
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
IRV
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 1
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
IND
2 - 2
ALD
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |