Primera C Metro. Final
Global 4-3
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
DOC
0 - 3
VSC
48%
26%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VSC
2 - 0
DOC
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MID
1 - 2
VSC
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
VSC
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
VSC
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
LAF
1 - 1
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
LUJ
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 0
LAF
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
ARM
3 - 0
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |